China Merchants Bank 招商银行
One significant filing since 31 May 2026, on dividend (4 Jul 2026): 招商银行股份有限公司2025年年度A股分红派息实施公告.
自 31 May 2026 起有一份重大公告（dividend，4 Jul 2026）：招商银行股份有限公司2025年年度A股分红派息实施公告。
Forecasts made more than 3 years before their fiscal year began, or after its results were filed, are excluded (1 of 79). 财年开始前 3 年以上或业绩披露后作出的预测不计入（79 份中 1 份）。
| FY2026 | FY2027 | |
|---|---|---|
| Now 当前 | 6.06 | 6.26 |
| 7 days ago | 6.06 | 6.26 |
| 30 days ago | 1 broker | 1 broker |
| 60 days ago | 6.08 | 6.29 |
| 90 days ago | 6.08 | 6.29 |
Consensus is the median of each broker's latest forecast from the 120 days before each date. With fewer than 3 brokers, the broker count is shown. 一致预期为各券商在该日期前 120 天内最新预测的中位数；不足 3 家时显示券商数。
Consensus moved from 6.44 in Oct 2024 to 6.06 in Sep 2026 (-5.9%). 一致预期从 Oct 2024 的 6.44 变为 Sep 2026 的 6.06 (-5.9%)。 The shaded band runs from the lowest to the highest broker forecast.
| FY2026 | FY2027 | |
|---|---|---|
| Last 30 days | ▲ 0 ▼ 0 = 3 | ▲ 0 ▼ 0 = 3 |
| Last 90 days | ▲ 0 ▼ 0 = 3 | ▲ 0 ▼ 0 = 3 |
Each broker's latest forecast is compared with its previous forecast for the same year. A move within 0.5% counts as unchanged. 每家券商的最新预测与其对同一年度的上一次预测比较，变动在 0.5% 以内视为不变。
| Year | Filed | Consensus | Brokers 券商 | Reported 实际 | Surprise 偏差 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2020 | 20 Mar 2021 | 3.83 | 4 | 3.79 | -0.9% |
| FY2019 | 21 Mar 2020 | 3.68 | 5 | 3.62 | -1.6% |
Surprise is reported EPS against the consensus on the day before the annual report was filed. 偏差为实际每股收益与年报披露前一日一致预期之差。
A surprise needs at least 3 brokers forecasting in the 120 days before the filing. FY2025 had 2 and FY2024 had 0. 惊喜幅度需公告前120天内至少3家券商预测；FY2025仅2家；FY2024仅0家。